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Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at 台中 Regional

decks
8 (4.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
44 15-19-10
overall winrate
45.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.3% avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
48.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1230 · median 1211 · range 1135–1362 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
945 Q1 1203 Q3 1401 1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 38% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 11.2% 6 3-1-2 66.7% 60.0% 57.6% +4.1
Fire Crux Lorraine 8.9% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 42.1% -5.1
Wind Crux Lorraine 6.5% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 59.4% +7.0
Fire Suzaku 5.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.9% +2.8
Fire Suited 5.3% 3 0-0-3 50.0% 50.0% 49.4% -0.4
Water Umbra Guardian 5.3% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 50.6% +0.4
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.7% 6 1-3-2 33.3% 40.0% 46.3% -2.0
Fire Aggro 4.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.2% +3.5
Water Genbu 4.1% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 61.2% +8.4
Wind Seiryuu 4.1% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 73.9% +17.8
Water Aetherwing 3.6% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 25.1% -18.6
Water Fractal 3.6% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 33.6% -15.8
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.5% -10.4
Fire Crux Mage 3.0% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 3.0% 0
Wind Allies 3.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 57.3% +7.0
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.4% 0
Water Allies 2.4% 0
Slimes 1.2% 0
Water Astra Ranger 1.2% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.2% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 1.2% 0
Fire Aetherwing 0.6% 0
Fire Exia 0.6% 0
Fire Genbu 0.6% 0
Fire Oblation 0.6% 0
Fire Tera Mage 0.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.7% +4.2
Fire Umbra Ciel 0.6% 0
Water Beast 0.6% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 0.6% 0
Water Neos 0.6% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 0.6% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 0.6% 0
Wind Arcane 0.6% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.2% -1.3
Wind Diana 0.6% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 0.6% 0
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 44 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Ravaging Tempest +1.00 2 0 0
Humpty Dumpty, Fate's Fall +1.00 2 0 0
Tend the Land -1.00 0 2 0
Meteor Strike +1.00 2 0 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 2 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace -1.00 0 2 0
Resolute Stand -0.50 0 1 0
Mnemonic Charm +0.50 1 0 1
Astral Seal -0.50 0 1 1
Stifling Trap -0.50 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -0.50 0 1 1
Backup Charger +0.50 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -0.50 0 1 0
Scry the Stars +0.50 1 0 0
Astarte, Celestial Dawn +0.50 1 0 0
Turbo Charge +0.50 1 0 0
Chalice of Blood +0.50 1 0 1
Regenerate -0.50 0 1 0
Prima Materia -0.50 0 1 1
Fertile Grounds +0.50 1 0 1
Nascent Barrier -0.50 0 1 1
Three Visits +0.50 1 0 1
Regal Inquisition -0.50 0 1 0
Indolent Leisure +0.50 1 0 0
Cometfall +0.50 1 0 1
Horticounter -0.50 0 1 1
Stellaria Shower +0.50 1 0 0
Safeguard Paragon +0.50 1 0 0
Displace -0.50 0 1 0
Kingdom's Divide -0.50 0 1 0
Lurid Dreaming -0.50 0 1 0
Fluffy Shopkeep -0.50 0 1 0
Decompose -0.50 0 1 0
Automated Gardener -0.50 0 1 0
Foraging Servant -0.50 0 1 0
Potion of Healing -0.50 0 1 0
Art of War +0.50 1 0 0
Spellshield: Astra +0.00 1 1 0
Beseech the Winds +0.00 1 1 0
Gentle Respite +0.00 1 1 0
Fast Cure +0.00 1 1 0
Scry the Skies +0.00 1 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +0.00 1 1 0
Zephyr +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/35157/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric